While being on the road like I am now, I have a luxury that most investors don’t have; I can distance myself from extraordinary events that push the market up or down. To be honest, I was aware of the Brexit decision when the market was about to close on Friday. The best part is that I was about to head out on my trip into the Grand Tetons & Yellowstone Parks for 5-6 days with very limited access to internet. It was perfect timing as I was able to download lots of articles and read calmly in front of the mountains.
The more I read about the Brexit, the more I realized that it was (again) the same thing over and over. And to be honest, in a span of 5 days, everything has been going back to where it belongs:
Since the beginning of the year, I have had a feeling that all we read about is very bad news. Things are not going well, in fact, the economy is terrible. The word recession is everywhere and it seems that nobody is working. Yet, both U.S. and Canadian stock market seems to think differently after all:
Yup… you read it right. After all this bad news, all these terrible things happening everyday, both markets are positive (these results exclude dividend payouts!). Interestingly enough, my portfolio is also on the positive side. Now, I’m asking you; when is the market is about to collapse? Because I don’t see it.
The Market is Crazy, It Doesn’t Mean You Have to Be the Same
Good! So we have successfully determined that the stock market is going up and down for absolutely no reason. Worse, the media is the most pessimistic guardian of the truth you can find. Now, this doesn’t mean you have to follow this course.
Many academic studies show that most DIY investors fail to build a solid portfolio. Forget about beating the index, I’m talking about having a portfolio that makes money over the long haul. Beating the index or not is not the end of the world if you reach your investing goal (such as building a solid retirement nest egg). However, it becomes a problem when the very same studies prove that a lot of investors lose money when they manage their own portfolio. This is probably because most of them are trying to benefit from the market and go in and out at various times counting on their super timing method that nobody had ever found success with before them. Well… guess again this is why they lose money. There is no such methodology to determine a peak or a low and trigger an investing move. However, there are various investing strategies that have been proven to be successful over time.
Dividend Growth Investing will Save you Lots of Headaches
When I read the dozen articles I downloaded about the Brexit and its terrible impact on the world’s economy, I didn’t even spent a second worrying about it. Why?
Because my investing strategy is not based on hectic market movements;
My investing strategy is based on solid companies with solid fundamentals.
Because my investing strategy is not based on special events shaking markets;
My investing strategy is based on growing dividend payments.
Because my investing strategy is not related to a specific group of companies;
My investing strategy is linked to a variety of companies from different sectors.
I guess the best quality dividend growth investing has as an investment strategy is that you will get paid no matter what happens in the market. Since the beginning of the year, my retirement account has generated $820 in dividend income. Regardless if the value of my portfolio is up or down, I did receive this money. This dividend payout is mine. The paper profit or paper loss showed on my brokerage account is surely interesting, but it is not real money until I cash it. The dividend income is real. Therefore, if the stock market goes down for the next 6 months, I will still earn another $820+ during this period. Again, this money will be mine.
And what will happen once the storm is gone and the sky is blue? The paper loss will come back as a paper profit and the dividend payout will continue to appear in my account. As opposed to the investor who’s patiently waiting for the next crash, he earns barely nothing from his savings account and might continue to earn nothing for a while. As I’ve demonstrated earlier in this post, while there is a ton of bad news in 2016, most investors following the market are making money. If you are waiting on the sideline for the next crash, you might be waiting for another 2-3 years.
I can’t do that. Waiting 2-3 years would mean that I’m saying goodbye to so much money earned in dividends. Who doesn’t want to earn money while he waits? This is exactly what dividend growth investing is about; getting paid when the market goes crazy on Brexit stories.
Stop Following the Market Madness – Where to Start?
I’d suggest to get yourself a good cup of coffee on a Sunday morning you have nothing planned. Then, you start your own research to build your investing rules in order to build your portfolio and manage it according to your needs and goals and not according to what is happening on the market. If you are looking for a place to start, you can get inspired by my own 7 investing principles I follow to manage my portfolios. Each principle has been proven by academic research and I have applied them towards 12 portfolios (11 of them are beating their benchmark since 2013). I don’t think I’m any kind of investing genius, I just worked hard to build a solid investing strategy and, most importantly, I follow my principles religiously.
Don’t let the market get to you, you are stronger than that!
FerdiS
I’m in agreement with most of what you’re saying, provided the investor doesn’t need to access the capital in the investment account in the near future. If that’s the case, its best not to have that capital in stocks anyway…
I guess my point is that the market will experience a correction at some point in the near future, dropping 20% or more from recent highs. For perspective, that means the DOW will trade below 14,800 and the S&P 500 somewhere around 1,700.
When that happens, you don’t want to be in a position where you HAVE to sell!
Happy traveling!
DivGuy
Hello FerdiS,
you are making a good point; if you need $20,000 out of your portfolio THIS year, it’s a good thing to have it prepared in money market funds. For the rest of the portfolio, you can let it go and continue to make money 🙂
Cheers
Mike
Dividend Growth Investor
I have found that my best investments are those where I do all the work up front, and then let the company do the heavy lifting for me. It is easy to hold on to an investment through thick or thin, when you are paid to own it.
In fact, my biggest mistakes have been selling too early, and buying something else with the proceeds. My analysis of past transactions have shown that I would have been better off simply staying put, and going to the movies instead.
I am glad your travels are going well!
DivGuy
Hello DGI,
You are right, sometimes patience is the best investing strategy! After all, you bought those shares at one point for a very good reason 🙂
PS: I should have kept MCD, right? hahahaha!
Take care,
Mike
Dividend Growth Investor
I have plenty of examples to prove to you that selilng has been a not that great decision. I sold my CINF in early 2013 o buy shares in the big 5 Canadian Banks. In hindsight, this was a poor decision.
Dividend Diplomats
DivGuy,
It’s cool to see that getting away and being restricted from access has further proven that we cannot time the market, that we do not need to stay focused on the minute by minute status of the stock market, because hey – we are dividend investors, built on fundamentally sound principals and screening filters. If a stock/company appears attractive, we buy. We don’t time anything, just use the information we have now and use our analyses to make a decision. Nuff said and hope you’ve enjoyed your time on the road!
-Lanny
DivGuy
Hey Lanny!
you are right; strong companies will do business no matter what happen in the world. The best part is they will keep paying their dividend!
cheers,
Mike
More Dividends
I agree. Learning to tune out the noise is very important. I agree with what Dividend Growth Investor said. A couple of my biggest mistakes was selling to early because of the noise that I was hearing. I try to live and learn though, so I do diligent research and only by if I truly believe it is a good company to own a part of. If I believe that it makes it a lot easier for me to sleep at night! Thanks for sharing!
DivGuy
Hey More Dividends,
thx for stopping by! I think the best way to become a better investor is to make mistake (hopefully, they don’t get too costly! hahaha!).
cheers,
Mike
amber tree
And I am still waiting for this Sunday to happen… My investment rules are not there yet.
I have one for now, based on the double taxation I face as a Belgian investor. hence, I focus on Belgian dividends stocks. As I have a solid core portfolio that is truly globally, a bias in my dividend portfolio does not matter too much.
That being said, some companies in Belgium are active worldwide. ABInbev is such an example…
Ay thoughts on that?
DivGuy
Hey ATL!
I’ve went through several years investing without a strong investing process (not the best decision ;-)). It may seem pointless, but it will greatly improve the way you manage your holding (taking care of doubts for example!).
It’s definitely not always easy to achieve a good diversification when you have a difficult access to the US market. I never looked at ABInbev (PE ratio shows at 36 on google finance which is very over my target…). They have a strong market share, good products and interesting dividend yield. How are revenues and earnings trend?
amber tree
ABInbev is an example of a Belgian stock that operates worldwide. I did not yet research the company in detail. They have a growing free cash flow for years now.
There are some other Belgian global players I like like Solvay. Maybe a bank as well.