Oct 16 2005

Energy Stocks and Dividends

I have been thinking that I ‘need’ to add some energy stocks in my portfolio, given the huge rise in commodity prices that have occurred over the past few years. I was listening to a radio show this morning and the topic of day was energy stocks and the guest spoke about the fact that energy stocks were only going to go up. Although he did not suggest any stocks in particular due to rules his compliance officer enforces, he did mention that he is bullish on the oil sands projects.

Sidebar - Before you jump all over me please note that I rarely act on anything I hear on the radio or read in the newspaper. I have spoken about this a couple of time on this blog - acting blindly on advice from ‘gurus’ is never a good idea.

My dividend-reinvesting broker (Canadian Shareowners Association) offers a couple of different choices in the energy sector. They include:

Available Energy Stocks with Dividend Yield
Investment Dividend Yield
iUnits S&P/TSX Canadian Energy Index 0.36%
Enbridge 2.88%
Encana 0.63%
Imperial Oil 0.90%
Petro-Canada 0.94%
Suncor Inc 0.41%

First thing I noticed on this cursory scan was the super low dividend yields. The only one that broke 1% was Enbridge, which is a pipeline company. In the sector recommended by the radio guy, Suncor would be the option as they have huge stakes in the oil sands in Fort McMurray. Not very exciting in terms of a dividend yield.

The next thing I checked was the track record in terms of dividend growth. The two companies that showed up on the Mergent Dividend Achiever list were Enbridge and Imperial Oil.

Based on this initial scan, I am going to do some initial research on Enbridge, Imperial Oil, and Suncor (based on the radio guy’s comments) to make sure the fundamentals are sound. As I don’t have the funds available right now to purchase another position I am going to just complete the due diligence. I will update you on the results of this shortly. If any of you have any comments about these three stock, please comment. I would greatly appreciate it.

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9 Comments on this post

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  1. Canadian Capitalist » Searching for Dividends in the Oil Patch wrote:

    [...] 18 Oct 2005 Searching for Dividends in the Oil Patch Posted by Canadian Capitalist under Investing  The Dividend Guy is looking for dividendpayers in the Canadian energy sector and finds that apart from Enbridge (TSX: ENB) (which is really a utility), you need a microscope to find the puny dividends paid by the big oil companies. Check out the current dividend yields of some of the companies: [...]

    October 27th, 2005 at 6:22 am
  2. 30 Days to Becoming a Better Investor - Day 2 - Fat Pitch Financials wrote:

    [...] I hope you got a chance to read through yesterday’s tips for becoming a better investor. I have two more great entries for you to study today. First, The Dividend Guy details his method of selecting energy stock for his portfolio in the post entitled, Energy Stocks and Dividends. He utilizes Mergent Dividend Achiever list to check out the dividend payments for the companies on his list. Some interesting discussion accompanies his post. [...]

    November 2nd, 2005 at 8:47 pm
  1. Ginsberg said:

    I shouldn’t talk down on the energy sector, given that I own the CIBC Energy mutual fund, but I have to say the run-up in price this year makes me nervous. Is there reason to believe oil prices will continue to rise, or are commodity markets wholly unpredictable? Anyways the other thing I wanted to point out is that those dividends do look tiny, but it’s possible they were respectable yields a year ago, and just haven’t risen along with the price. Imperial Oil’s current dividend would be a 1.4% yield with their price from January. Perhaps with the increased earnings from the oil price spike you can expect dividends to rise in the next quarter…

    October 16th, 2005 at 11:33 pm
  2. The Dividend Guy said:

    That is a great point on the dividend yield. I am willing to bet that that is most definately the case. When I look at the stocks in more detail, I am of course going to look at valuation - if things seem out of whack then I am going to be very hesitant.

    October 17th, 2005 at 1:17 am
  3. Matt said:

    I realize it’s not in your list, but if you are looking for a higher dividend yield and a more direct tie to commodity prices, you may consider some of the oil and gas trusts. You may have different options than we do in the US on the NYSE, but I know that the following are traded in Canada:

    1. Canadian Oil Sands Trust (COS-UN)
    http://www.cos-trust.com/

    2. Harvest Energy Trust (HTE.UN)
    http://www.harvestenergy.ca/

    3. Pengrowth
    http://www.pengrowth.com/

    Just some stuff to think about.

    Disclaimer: I own shares of the HTE units that are traded on the NYSE.

    October 17th, 2005 at 3:33 pm
  4. Steamboy said:

    Being a conservative guy, I choose Endbridge and bought 200 yesterday to hold long term. The dividend is good, it’s on the Mergent list for increasing dividends, and being a pipeline, they are relatively immune to oil prices. It is more a utility than a pure oil company but they are expanding and have plans for new lines. I don’t have the skills to do financial analysis of companies, so I rely on several sources to concur. I also like the trusts - making out like a bandit with Enerplus and Harvest.

    October 18th, 2005 at 6:17 pm
  5. The Dividend Guy said:

    Steamboy, congrats on your purchase. It is tough to find the time to do the full analysis but it sounds like you have a pretty good understanding of the company. Many people have done well with Enbridge.

    October 18th, 2005 at 8:46 pm
  6. Canadian Capitalist said:

    I am bearish on energy stocks. The earnings of these companies is entirely dependent on oil prices. Oil prices are high now, but they might just as easily fall to $45 as rise to $70.

    Investors are chasing performance yet again loading up on energy sector mutual funds. My guess is once again, the energy sector is going to underperform.

    Well, everything so far is just a guess. Maybe a good guess, but still a guess. You may want to diversify into energy for portfolio diversification purposes. Energy does have very low correlation with other sectors.

    You are looking for good dividend yields which are difficult to find in Canada. IMHO, you should consider US listed stocks: XOM yields 2% and BP, TOT, Royal Dutch Shell all yield more than 3%.

    October 18th, 2005 at 10:04 pm
  7. Canadian Capitalist said:

    Thought I’d might make a post out of my comment:

    http://canadiancapitalist.blogspot.com/2005/10/searching-for-dividends-in-oil-patch.html

    Cheers!

    October 20th, 2005 at 3:22 pm

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