Jan 5 2009

Hedging a Dividend Portfolio

portfolio-hedging

I was recently asked by a reader (thanks Edwin) about my take on using a hedging strategy in a dividend investing portfolio. Although I have never done any true hedging (other than covered calls) in my dividend growth portfolio, it has been a huge topic of discussion from many financial pundits as a way to help limit the downside with a sliding portfolio. I did some research on it and wanted to provide a quick overview here, and provide my take on it.

The intention of hedging is to offset the downside risk in a portfolio through the purchase of an asset that will reward you if your portfolio goes the other way than you intended. This definition from Investopedia really sums it up best:

The best way to understand hedging is to think of it as insurance. When people decide to hedge, they are insuring themselves against a negative event. This doesn’t prevent a negative event from happening, but if it does happen and you’re properly hedged, the impact of the event is reduced.

Edwin’s suggestion was that an investor could hold 75% of their portfolio in dividend growth stocks and then purchase an exchange-traded fund that shorts the market using 3x leverage. The intention is that when the market tanks, you reap the gains three-fold. There are other types of hedging, such as using puts or covered calls to limit your downside. As I was doing some research on the topic, I could not find any definitive evidence that hedging was a good or bad strategy. I had to make my own call, and came up with the following two reasons that hedging using leveraged short ETFs are not for me:

1. I am a long-term Investor

My viewpoint is that over long periods of time (10+ or even more years) the market goes up more than it goes down. As such, I see portfolio hedging as a short-term strategy that simply helps to manage an investors emotional reactions when the market is going down. I have said it before, unless you truly understand your risk profile then you are prone to make rash portfolio decisions. If you are really comfortable with your asset allocation, then you should let it do its work over the long term.

2. Hedging can be Expensive

Buying portfolio insurance can be expensive. For example, the ProSharesUltraShort Russell 2000 (TWM) has an expense ratio of 0.95%. If the market is going up and this fund is working against you, then that additional MER will continue to erode the value of your portfolio. As a long-term investor (see above), my pontification is that the market will rise over long periods of time so why pay these additional fees.

This being said, I have been know to hedge using covered calls from time to time if the numbers look good. I therefore cannot say that I will never hedge, I just doubt I will hedge using a shorting strategy. The costs and the short-term focus simply go against my portfolio strategy.

(Photo Credit)

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Jan 3 2009

The Dividend Guy 2008 Year In Review

2009

Typically on Saturdays I post my Weekly Roundup, which links to a number of the posts that I have found particularly valuable over the past week. However, seeing that we are in a brand new year, I thought it would be appropriate for me to link to a number of the articles I have published over the past year. It has been a busy year both at the blog and in the market. Thanks to everyone for continuing to come back time and time again. I really do appreciate it.

January 2008

  • The Dividend Guy Investment Process Part 1: Introduction and The Dividend Guy Code
  • The BMW Method of Picking Undervalued Stocks
  • February 2008

  • The 3 Things That Will Make You Better Than 99% of Investors
  • You Can’t Be a Lazy Investor
  • What Makes a Stock Defensive? The Ultimate Defensive Stock
  • Investment Ideas from My Fridge
  • March 2008

  • Dual Class Shares Suck
  • Pension Fund Asset Allocations You Can Use
  • What Music Band Nine Inch Nails Taught Me About Investing
  • A Valuation Exercise: The Dividend Aristocrats
  • My Top 3 Investing Mistakes and a Challenge to Other Bloggers
  • April 2008

  • Margin Can Make you Rich…or Really Really Poor
  • Risk Capacity and Risk Tolerance Are Different Beasts
  • Which Sectors Do Dividend ETFs Invest In?
  • Should a Long-Term Investor Worry About Short-Term Market Trends?
  • 6 Stock Trading Tips for Long Term Investors
  • May 2008

  • Top 5 Ways to Lose Money in Stocks
  • Where to Get Investment Data to Analyze Dividend Stocks
  • Dividend Yield or Dividend Growth?
  • Not So Breaking News: Most Mutual Fund Managers Still Underperforming the Market
  • The Vanguard Principles - An Excellent Investor’s Resource
  • June 2008

  • 3 Possible Actions to Take with a Dividend Decrease
  • Patience Will Always Reward You in Dividend Investing
  • The Two Most Important Aspects of Portfolio Construction
  • Rebalancing as a Key Portfolio Tactic
  • The Top 3 Dividend Investing Books
  • July 2008

  • Top 3 Reasons to Drop a Stock From Your Watch List
  • Lower Risk = Higher Investment Profits
  • The 9 Rules of Risk Management
  • Investing Boils Down to 4 Principles Like Hockey Boils Down to the Fundamentals of the Game
  • August 2008

  • What a Couple of Days Away From the Stock Market Can Teach You
  • My Best Investing Mistake
  • Keeping Investing Simple: Only 2 Real Reasons Why We Invest
  • September 2008

  • Invest When It Feels Like the End of the World
  • The Four Most Important Metrics When Evaluating Dividend Stocks
  • October 2008

  • My Main Investment Objective: To Generate a Reliable, Growing Stream of Income from Stocks
  • An Update to The Dividend Guy Investment Code
  • Some Investing Rules According to Warren Buffet
  • November 2008

  • Sold Some Dividend Cut Stocks
  • Calculating My Portfolio’s Annualized Return
  • Three Things Investors Do to Get Into Trouble
  • It’s Not Different This Time
  • December 2008

  • Tracking My Portfolio Income
  • The Top 6 Things I Learned from The Market Crash of 2008
  • Viewing My Sector and Asset Allocation
  • Some Additional Articles

    I do want to link to one additional series of posts that Tim Ferris posted over at his blog, Four Hour Work Week. It is Tim’s thoughts on investing in uncommon times. Although I do not agree with everything he writes, I did find it very interesting. Here is Part 1 and Part 2.

    (Photo Credit)

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    Dec 31 2008

    Tracking My Portfolio Income

    Small-Cap Investment Choices for a Dividend Portfolio

    The best thing about being a dividend growth investor is watching your dividend income grow over time. As I have written about time and time again, the power of a dividend growth portfolio is the compounded growth that an investor receives . As new dividends come into the account from the companies paying dividends, those dividends should be plowed back into more shares of the best companies. Over time your number of shares grow. Also, with the right companies the actual company dividend also grow. The net result is higher and higher dividend income into your portfolio. Nice scenario!

    As a visual type of guy, I like to keep track of this data. I have a chart set up that shows my dividend income over time. It does nothing more than show me the impact dividend growth has had on my portfolio progress, however it is a powerful reminder of the power of this growth. The chart is easy to set up using any spreadsheet program. Put the date in one column, your yearly dividend income in another, select the cells, and click the graphing icon in the program. After selecting a few other options, you have a chart showing you the dividend growth. Here is what my chart looks like today:

    Dividend IncomeClick to Enlarge

    Simple but powerful. It is certainly a motivating factor during the life of a portfolio.

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    Dec 27 2008

    Weekly Dividend Investing Roundup - December 27, 2008

    Weekly Roundup

    Welcome to the December 27, 2008 edition of The Dividend Guy’s weekly roundup of posts and articles about investing, dividend and non-dividend related. Once again a good week in terms of posts and information for all of us avid blog readers.

    If you know of other blogs that are covering the topic of investing and dividends, please feel free to let us all know using the comment section below.

    The DIV-Net

    Build-a-Bear as an investment?

    2009 Dividend Aristocrats

    Dividend Aristocrats in danger

    The herd mentatlity

    Dividend increases are still happening

    Stock valuation

    The energy patch

    Dividends are sexy

    Saving some serious dough

    The Articles

    Portfolio planning for 2009

    I love LifeHacker for non-investing reading. FAIL blog too for a quick laugh

    The intelligent investor guide

    Being rich

    How insurance companies lost their way

    Scott Adams (Dilbert) on finance

    Emerging markets and downturns

    A view on Suze Orman

    This market can make you rich

    Saving for college

    5 tips for investing in any market

    Thanks for reading!

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    Dec 24 2008

    Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays

    I am going to take a couple of days to spend some time with my family and friends this holiday season. There will be no posts on December 24th. I will resume posting on December 31st well rested (I think) and rarin’ to go! Merry Christmas and happy holidays to all readers of tDG. See you in a couple of days…


    Christmas Tree

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    Dec 23 2008

    RSS Update - Please Update Your Readers

    I have had some fun with the most recent version of Wordpress, a theme update, and my RSS Feed. I still have not idea what happened, but I have had to create a new feed address. Theoretically, the way I have things set up now, all of my existing subscribers should redirect to the new feed, but just to be safe, you can always update the feed in your favorite RSS reader to the new address.

    My new feed address is: http://feedproxy.google.com/TheDividendGuy

    As I work through everything on the new site, please let me know if you find any issues by using the comments below.

    Thanks everyone for your patience!

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    Dec 21 2008

    Test Post - Ignore

    Just testing some things out - please ignore this message (Having some fun with the upgrade!!)

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    Dec 20 2008

    Weekly Dividend Investing Roundup - December 20, 2008

    Weekly Roundup

    Welcome to the December 20, 2008 edition of The Dividend Guy’s weekly roundup of posts and articles about investing, dividend and non-dividend related. Once again a good week in terms of posts and information for all of us avid blog readers.

    If you know of other blogs that are covering the topic of investing and dividends, please feel free to let us all know using the comment section below.

    The DIV-Net

    Arbitrage for you and me

    Caution with high Return on Equity values

    Nine dividend increases

    Long term bonds for portfolio income

    Interactive financial statements

    Another bank fails

    Where to invest in 2009

    Dividend reinvestment plan example

    On making charitable donations

    The Articles

    Things he learned this year

    Make yourself happier (not investing related but good nonetheless)

    Worry free investing

    The Yale Endowment Fund lost 25%

    How to save your safety deposit box

    A blogger’s investment update

    Defining financial goals

    Diversify with commodities

    Is your home an investment?

    It’s called Math - how to diversify your portfolio

    Many smart investors are dumb

    Australian dividends are set to crash

    Sector investing does not work

    5 ways to improve your investing skills

    McDonald’s still lovin’ it

    A bit promotional, but dividend related

    Thanks for reading!

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